Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-21 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 107 | 89 / 18 | 19 | 21.3% | 1.48x | +5.76% | -6.36% |
| Grade D | 3611 | 3127 / 484 | 303 | 9.7% | 0.67x | +4.18% | -5.39% |
| Grade F | 9292 | 6281 / 3011 | 1042 | 16.6% | 1.15x | +5.71% | -4.78% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 413 | 290 / 123 | 40.7% | 2.83x | 2.85x | 33.3% · 15 checked | +9.78% | -5.53% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 413 | 290 / 123 | 40.7% | 2.83x | 2.85x | 33.3% · 15 checked | +9.78% | -5.53% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 274 | 164 / 110 | 26.8% | 1.86x | 1.83x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +6.97% | -6.49% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 274 | 164 / 110 | 26.8% | 1.86x | 1.83x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +6.97% | -6.49% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 751 | 638 / 113 | 13% | 0.9x | 0.89x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +4.95% | -6.27% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 757 | 642 / 115 | 12.9% | 0.9x | 0.88x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +4.96% | -6.26% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 742 | 629 / 113 | 12.9% | 0.9x | 0.88x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +4.93% | -6.21% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 2434 | 1718 / 716 | 26.3% | 1.83x | 1.83x | 25.3% · 79 checked | +7.60% | -5.25% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2422 | 1707 / 715 | 26.1% | 1.81x | 1.82x | 24.4% · 78 checked | +7.58% | -5.24% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 | 873 | 752 / 121 | 12.8% | 0.89x | 0.88x | 20% · 15 checked | +4.91% | -6.19% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 | 867 | 748 / 119 | 12.8% | 0.89x | 0.88x | 20% · 15 checked | +4.91% | -6.20% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Risk not High | 857 | 738 / 119 | 12.7% | 0.88x | 0.88x | 20% · 15 checked | +4.89% | -6.15% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 853 | 735 / 118 | 12.8% | 0.89x | 0.88x | 20% · 15 checked | +4.89% | -6.15% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 644 | 538 / 106 | 12.8% | 0.89x | 0.88x | 20% · 10 checked | +4.97% | -6.11% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1609 | 1151 / 458 | 20.2% | 1.4x | 1.41x | 19.6% · 51 checked | +6.13% | -5.53% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 124 | 103 / 21 | 21 | 20.4% | 1.42x | 33.3% · 3 checked | +5.37% | -7.21% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 287 | 253 / 34 | 39 | 15.4% | 1.07x | 16.7% · 6 checked | +5.22% | -6.62% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 159 | 139 / 20 | 16 | 11.5% | 0.8x | 33.3% · 3 checked | +4.46% | -6.86% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2679 | 2374 / 305 | 266 | 11.2% | 0.78x | 6.6% · 76 checked | +4.62% | -5.30% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices | B 72.3 | 111.9 67.9/110 · 44/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.WBD Warner Bros. Discovery | B 70.4 | 104.6 63.6/110 · 41/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.META Meta Platforms | B 66.2 | 102.5 61.5/110 · 41/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.INTC Intel | B 65.4 | 99.5 57.5/110 · 42/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.COHR Coherent Corp. | B 65.4 | 95 63/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.MU Micron Technology | B 68.1 | 94.9 63.9/110 · 31/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.QCOM Qualcomm | B 64.3 | 93.1 58.1/110 · 35/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.MRNA Moderna | B 65.4 | 90.7 58.7/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.MRVL Marvell Technology | C 62.6 | 86 55/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 12657 | 9179 / 3478 | 1326 | 14.4% | 1x | +5.22% | -4.97% |
| Score 90-109 | 359 | 322 / 37 | 38 | 11.8% | 0.82x | +4.70% | -6.02% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 74 | 65 / 9 | 15 | 23.1% | 1.6x | +5.84% | -6.12% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12154 | 8759 / 3395 | 1270 | 14.5% | 1.01x | +5.23% | -4.91% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 213 | 188 / 25 | 24 | 12.8% | 0.89x | +5.01% | -6.80% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 586 | 499 / 87 | 57 | 11.4% | 0.79x | +4.75% | -5.97% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 413 | 290 / 123 | 118 | 40.7% | 2.83x | +9.78% | -5.53% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2021 | 1428 / 593 | 334 | 23.4% | 1.62x | +7.16% | -5.19% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6399 | 4657 / 1742 | 604 | 13% | 0.9x | +5.07% | -4.96% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4194 | 3136 / 1058 | 310 | 9.9% | 0.69x | +4.09% | -4.95% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 439 | 364 / 75 | 131 | 36% | 2.5x | +11.03% | -6.83% |
| Elevated | 3793 | 2926 / 867 | 838 | 28.6% | 1.99x | +8.06% | -5.57% |
| Medium | 8420 | 6002 / 2418 | 397 | 6.6% | 0.46x | +3.58% | -4.67% |
| Low | 375 | 219 / 156 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.83% | -3.77% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1924 | 1406 / 518 | 536 | 38.1% | 2.65x | +9.92% | -6.76% |
| Communication Services | 571 | 412 / 159 | 88 | 21.4% | 1.49x | +6.34% | -4.31% |
| Energy | 546 | 399 / 147 | 73 | 18.3% | 1.27x | +6.13% | -3.74% |
| Materials | 676 | 494 / 182 | 74 | 15% | 1.04x | +5.18% | -5.07% |
| Health Care | 1533 | 1120 / 413 | 143 | 12.8% | 0.89x | +5.94% | -4.22% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1222 | 893 / 329 | 113 | 12.7% | 0.88x | +4.58% | -5.60% |
| Industrials | 2080 | 1520 / 560 | 169 | 11.1% | 0.77x | +4.18% | -5.37% |
| Consumer Staples | 909 | 664 / 245 | 50 | 7.5% | 0.52x | +4.16% | -5.16% |
| Financials | 1976 | 1444 / 532 | 91 | 6.3% | 0.44x | +3.74% | -3.76% |
| Utilities | 806 | 589 / 217 | 15 | 2.5% | 0.17x | +2.14% | -4.70% |
| Real Estate | 784 | 570 / 214 | 14 | 2.5% | 0.17x | +2.49% | -4.96% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.