歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序;僅供研究覆核,非買賣建議。

樣本 n=120 · horizon 3D · 已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原:3.4–3.9 · UP>DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原3.4–3.9 (上限為半開區間)勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部,或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計,不是交易建議;請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-21

Computed at 2026年9月22日 上午7:44 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters
Projection candidates 7

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=120

As-of 2026-09-21

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-21
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-21
DOE window 2026-07-13 → 2026-09-16
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月22日 上午7:44 HKT
Rows 7
Excluded downtrends 3
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.4–3.9

OOS n=619 Median 0.07%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.4–3.9

+0.07% OOS median · n=619

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +1.55% ann. net · n=722

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.33% exp · 73D WF

Opp study rows 25,268 with outcomes

1,506 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-21

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日優先用當日穩定 Opp 高原;唔合格就沿用上一日。其餘篩選與本頁相同。列出當日全部入榜標的(非僅 Top 5)。

32 檔(去重) 已參與

09-15

9 3.2–3.7
  1. #1 TRGP P75+4.16% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.626 開富途
  2. #2 CSCO P75+4.85% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25% / 5% Opp3.597 開富途
  3. #3 FITB P75+2.88% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.487 開富途
  4. #4 AIZ P75+2.81% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.458 開富途
  5. #5 BNY P75+2.88% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.33 開富途
  6. #6 MTB P75+3.32% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Opp3.33 開富途
  7. #7 A P75+4.72% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 3.8% Opp3.28 開富途
  8. #8 AMAT P75+6.84% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn31.3% / 18.8% Opp3.238 開富途
  9. #9 SJM P75+2.30% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.202 開富途

09-16

9 3.2–3.7←09-15
  1. #1 CINF P75+2.65% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.626 開富途
  2. #2 C P75+3.16% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.562 開富途
  3. #3 COHR P75+5.22% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn26.3% / 16.3% Opp3.529 開富途
  4. #4 MS P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 3.8% Opp3.528 開富途
  5. #5 SYF P75+3.10% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.395 開富途
  6. #6 RJF P75+2.94% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.367 開富途
  7. #7 PRU P75+2.55% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.348 開富途
  8. #8 BEN P75+2.83% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.254 開富途
  9. #9 NEM P75+4.61% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp3.252 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.STLD P75+4.26% 上漲比61.7% Up/Dn17.5% / 6.7% Opp3.802 開富途
  2. #2 US.BKR P75+4.03% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn19.2% / 3.3% Opp3.785 開富途
  3. #3 US.BG P75+4.07% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 1.7% Opp3.693 開富途
  4. #4 US.IVZ P75+4.24% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn19.2% / 5.8% Opp3.69 開富途
  5. #5 US.CNC P75+3.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn21.7% / 4.2% Opp3.57 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序:歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原3.4–3.9 (上限為半開區間)勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部,或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

Default filter active: UP>DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.STLD Steel Dynamics · Materials

+1.84%

P75+4.26% 上漲比61.7% Up/Dn17.5% / 6.7% Score48.4 Opp3.802
View chart 開富途
#2 US.BKR Baker Hughes · Energy

+1.44%

P75+4.03% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn19.2% / 3.3% Score53.3 Opp3.785
View chart 開富途
#3 US.BG Bunge Global · Consumer Staples

+1.24%

P75+4.07% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 1.7% Score45 Opp3.693
View chart 開富途
#4 US.IVZ Invesco · Financials

+1.18%

P75+4.24% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn19.2% / 5.8% Score53 Opp3.69
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

+1.28%

P75+3.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn21.7% / 4.2% Score55.9 Opp3.57
View chart 開富途
#6 US.WMB Williams Companies · Energy

+1.23%

P75+3.84% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn16.7% / 4.2% Score53 Opp3.472
View chart 開富途
#7 US.OXY Occidental Petroleum · Energy

+1.19%

P75+4.16% 上漲比63.3% Up/Dn19.2% / 4.2% Score50.5 Opp3.421
View chart 開富途