Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-09 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 3919 | 3350 / 569 | 395 | 11.8% | 0.64x | +4.84% | -5.22% |
| Grade F | 9119 | 7172 / 1947 | 1536 | 21.4% | 1.16x | +6.76% | -4.76% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 231 | 178 / 53 | 22.5% | 1.22x | 1.11x | 34.6% · 26 checked | +6.61% | -8.04% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 231 | 178 / 53 | 22.5% | 1.22x | 1.11x | 34.6% · 26 checked | +6.61% | -8.04% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 395 | 322 / 73 | 36% | 1.96x | 1.98x | 33.3% · 45 checked | +9.18% | -7.95% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 395 | 322 / 73 | 36% | 1.96x | 1.98x | 33.3% · 45 checked | +9.18% | -7.95% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 129 | 102 / 27 | 18.6% | 1.01x | 0.89x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +6.09% | -8.17% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 131 | 104 / 27 | 18.3% | 0.99x | 0.86x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +6.08% | -8.14% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 131 | 104 / 27 | 18.3% | 0.99x | 0.86x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +6.08% | -8.14% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 65 | 55 / 10 | 14.5% | 0.79x | 0.62x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +4.42% | -7.48% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 97 | 84 / 13 | 16.7% | 0.91x | 0.83x | 25% · 12 checked | +4.99% | -7.20% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 109 | 97 / 12 | 20.6% | 1.12x | 1.1x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +5.72% | -6.53% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 118 | 105 / 13 | 20% | 1.09x | 1.07x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +5.47% | -6.86% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 118 | 105 / 13 | 20% | 1.09x | 1.07x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +5.47% | -6.86% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 118 | 105 / 13 | 20% | 1.09x | 1.07x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +5.47% | -6.86% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1528 | 1246 / 282 | 20.9% | 1.14x | 1.13x | 22.9% · 144 checked | +6.34% | -5.80% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1523 | 1241 / 282 | 20.8% | 1.13x | 1.11x | 22.9% · 144 checked | +6.33% | -5.78% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 118 | 105 / 13 | 21 | 20% | 1.09x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +5.47% | -6.86% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 299 | 279 / 20 | 41 | 14.7% | 0.8x | 12% · 25 checked | +5.24% | -6.42% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 3019 | 2554 / 465 | 322 | 12.6% | 0.68x | 6.5% · 400 checked | +5.14% | -5.02% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 165 | 150 / 15 | 16 | 10.7% | 0.58x | 15.8% · 19 checked | +4.46% | -6.58% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 12633 | 10150 / 2483 | 1890 | 18.6% | 1.01x | +6.20% | -4.87% |
| Score 90-109 | 387 | 354 / 33 | 39 | 11% | 0.6x | +4.74% | -6.02% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 74 | 68 / 6 | 14 | 20.6% | 1.12x | +5.84% | -5.65% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12069 | 9631 / 2438 | 1824 | 18.9% | 1.03x | +6.25% | -4.80% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 225 | 211 / 14 | 27 | 12.8% | 0.7x | +5.04% | -6.66% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 670 | 612 / 58 | 66 | 10.8% | 0.59x | +4.91% | -5.89% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 395 | 322 / 73 | 116 | 36% | 1.96x | +9.18% | -7.95% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1919 | 1562 / 357 | 382 | 24.5% | 1.33x | +7.41% | -5.76% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6350 | 5188 / 1162 | 882 | 17% | 0.92x | +5.97% | -4.72% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4374 | 3450 / 924 | 551 | 16% | 0.87x | +5.56% | -4.51% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 500 | 456 / 44 | 161 | 35.3% | 1.92x | +10.71% | -7.63% |
| Elevated | 4075 | 3516 / 559 | 1070 | 30.4% | 1.65x | +8.33% | -5.99% |
| Medium | 8182 | 6376 / 1806 | 700 | 11% | 0.6x | +4.72% | -4.15% |
| Low | 281 | 174 / 107 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.53% | -3.50% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1923 | 1553 / 370 | 630 | 40.6% | 2.21x | +10.43% | -7.76% |
| Communication Services | 575 | 458 / 117 | 99 | 21.6% | 1.17x | +6.55% | -4.76% |
| Materials | 676 | 546 / 130 | 116 | 21.2% | 1.15x | +6.59% | -4.47% |
| Health Care | 1533 | 1238 / 295 | 239 | 19.3% | 1.05x | +7.07% | -3.84% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1222 | 987 / 235 | 190 | 19.3% | 1.05x | +6.06% | -5.02% |
| Energy | 546 | 441 / 105 | 83 | 18.8% | 1.02x | +6.19% | -3.87% |
| Industrials | 2080 | 1680 / 400 | 286 | 17% | 0.92x | +5.54% | -5.25% |
| Financials | 1976 | 1596 / 380 | 167 | 10.5% | 0.57x | +4.68% | -3.46% |
| Consumer Staples | 909 | 734 / 175 | 75 | 10.2% | 0.55x | +5.08% | -4.64% |
| Real Estate | 792 | 638 / 154 | 35 | 5.5% | 0.3x | +3.58% | -4.34% |
| Utilities | 806 | 651 / 155 | 11 | 1.7% | 0.09x | +2.51% | -4.64% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.