Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-04 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4572 | 3746 / 826 | 421 | 11.2% | 0.64x | +4.92% | -5.04% |
| Grade F | 10467 | 8277 / 2190 | 1677 | 20.3% | 1.17x | +6.69% | -4.79% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 117 | 100 / 17 | 19% | 1.09x | 1.03x | 25% · 16 checked | +5.69% | -7.09% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 69 | 54 / 15 | 13% | 0.75x | 0.55x | 25% · 12 checked | +4.47% | -7.92% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 126 | 109 / 17 | 18.3% | 1.05x | 1.01x | 22.2% · 18 checked | +5.47% | -7.33% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 126 | 109 / 17 | 18.3% | 1.05x | 1.01x | 22.2% · 18 checked | +5.47% | -7.33% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 126 | 109 / 17 | 18.3% | 1.05x | 1.01x | 22.2% · 18 checked | +5.47% | -7.33% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 75 | 65 / 10 | 13.8% | 0.79x | 0.61x | 22.2% · 18 checked | +5.56% | -7.69% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 76 | 66 / 10 | 13.6% | 0.78x | 0.61x | 21.1% · 19 checked | +5.53% | -7.62% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 76 | 66 / 10 | 13.6% | 0.78x | 0.61x | 21.1% · 19 checked | +5.53% | -7.62% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 102 | 85 / 17 | 15.3% | 0.88x | 0.83x | 18.8% · 16 checked | +5.05% | -7.43% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 64 | 51 / 13 | 15.7% | 0.9x | 0.86x | 18.2% · 11 checked | +5.27% | -7.59% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 375 | 290 / 85 | 14.5% | 0.83x | 0.8x | 16.9% · 59 checked | +5.17% | -6.05% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 237 | 199 / 38 | 16.6% | 0.95x | 0.95x | 16.7% · 30 checked | +5.81% | -6.63% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 157 | 135 / 22 | 9.6% | 0.55x | 0.49x | 16.7% · 18 checked | +4.39% | -6.96% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 | 157 | 133 / 24 | 9% | 0.52x | 0.45x | 16.7% · 18 checked | +4.44% | -6.58% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 553 | 448 / 105 | 14.7% | 0.84x | 0.83x | 16% · 94 checked | +5.20% | -5.85% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 126 | 109 / 17 | 20 | 18.3% | 1.05x | 22.2% · 18 checked | +5.47% | -7.33% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 313 | 284 / 29 | 40 | 14.1% | 0.81x | 12.1% · 33 checked | +5.27% | -6.59% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 3718 | 3019 / 699 | 350 | 11.6% | 0.67x | 8.2% · 440 checked | +5.19% | -4.84% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 171 | 147 / 24 | 15 | 10.2% | 0.59x | 15% · 20 checked | +4.55% | -6.81% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 14608 | 11640 / 2968 | 2055 | 17.7% | 1.02x | +6.18% | -4.83% |
| Score 90-109 | 413 | 365 / 48 | 41 | 11.2% | 0.64x | +4.85% | -6.11% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 75 | 67 / 8 | 13 | 19.4% | 1.11x | +5.78% | -5.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 13967 | 11073 / 2894 | 1988 | 18% | 1.03x | +6.23% | -4.77% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 238 | 217 / 21 | 27 | 12.4% | 0.71x | +5.12% | -6.87% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 759 | 666 / 93 | 70 | 10.5% | 0.6x | +4.95% | -5.69% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 460 | 373 / 87 | 115 | 30.8% | 1.77x | +8.39% | -8.91% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2154 | 1760 / 394 | 396 | 22.5% | 1.29x | +7.08% | -6.25% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7323 | 5959 / 1364 | 980 | 16.4% | 0.94x | +6.00% | -4.59% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5102 | 3931 / 1171 | 607 | 15.4% | 0.89x | +5.71% | -4.27% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 622 | 553 / 69 | 170 | 30.7% | 1.76x | +9.69% | -8.10% |
| Elevated | 4847 | 4172 / 675 | 1145 | 27.4% | 1.57x | +7.87% | -6.06% |
| Medium | 9283 | 7127 / 2156 | 783 | 11% | 0.63x | +4.93% | -3.95% |
| Low | 287 | 171 / 116 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.77% | -3.30% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2214 | 1770 / 444 | 630 | 35.6% | 2.05x | +9.58% | -8.36% |
| Energy | 630 | 504 / 126 | 115 | 22.8% | 1.31x | +6.74% | -3.54% |
| Materials | 780 | 624 / 156 | 133 | 21.3% | 1.22x | +6.46% | -4.32% |
| Communication Services | 664 | 525 / 139 | 105 | 20% | 1.15x | +6.52% | -4.81% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1410 | 1128 / 282 | 207 | 18.4% | 1.06x | +6.13% | -4.75% |
| Health Care | 1769 | 1415 / 354 | 243 | 17.2% | 0.99x | +6.85% | -4.09% |
| Industrials | 2398 | 1918 / 480 | 320 | 16.7% | 0.96x | +5.60% | -5.13% |
| Consumer Staples | 1048 | 838 / 210 | 95 | 11.3% | 0.65x | +5.44% | -4.10% |
| Financials | 2278 | 1822 / 456 | 197 | 10.8% | 0.62x | +5.04% | -3.42% |
| Real Estate | 918 | 735 / 183 | 41 | 5.6% | 0.32x | +4.03% | -3.85% |
| Utilities | 930 | 744 / 186 | 12 | 1.6% | 0.09x | +2.65% | -4.32% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.