Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-03 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4529 | 3567 / 962 | 411 | 11.5% | 0.64x | +4.98% | -5.03% |
| Grade F | 10512 | 7956 / 2556 | 1666 | 20.9% | 1.16x | +6.82% | -4.78% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 126 | 102 / 24 | 17.6% | 0.98x | 0.98x | 18.2% · 11 checked | +5.32% | -7.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 126 | 102 / 24 | 17.6% | 0.98x | 0.98x | 18.2% · 11 checked | +5.32% | -7.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 126 | 102 / 24 | 17.6% | 0.98x | 0.98x | 18.2% · 11 checked | +5.32% | -7.35% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 75 | 59 / 16 | 11.9% | 0.66x | 0.59x | 16.7% · 12 checked | +5.28% | -7.55% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 552 | 422 / 130 | 14.7% | 0.82x | 0.8x | 16.2% · 68 checked | +5.15% | -5.82% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 555 | 425 / 130 | 14.6% | 0.81x | 0.8x | 15.7% · 70 checked | +5.15% | -5.80% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 555 | 425 / 130 | 14.6% | 0.81x | 0.8x | 15.7% · 70 checked | +5.15% | -5.80% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 375 | 270 / 105 | 14.1% | 0.78x | 0.77x | 15.4% · 39 checked | +5.08% | -6.03% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 76 | 60 / 16 | 11.7% | 0.65x | 0.59x | 15.4% · 13 checked | +5.25% | -7.48% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 76 | 60 / 16 | 11.7% | 0.65x | 0.59x | 15.4% · 13 checked | +5.25% | -7.48% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 961 | 743 / 218 | 14.8% | 0.82x | 0.83x | 13.8% · 138 checked | +5.50% | -6.11% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 969 | 750 / 219 | 14.8% | 0.82x | 0.84x | 13.7% · 139 checked | +5.52% | -6.10% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 970 | 751 / 219 | 14.8% | 0.82x | 0.84x | 13.6% · 140 checked | +5.51% | -6.12% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2182 | 1682 / 500 | 13.7% | 0.76x | 0.77x | 13% · 238 checked | +5.49% | -4.94% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2188 | 1686 / 502 | 13.6% | 0.76x | 0.77x | 12.9% · 240 checked | +5.49% | -4.94% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 126 | 102 / 24 | 18 | 17.6% | 0.98x | 18.2% · 11 checked | +5.32% | -7.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 313 | 272 / 41 | 38 | 14% | 0.78x | 9.5% · 21 checked | +5.19% | -6.61% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 3718 | 2898 / 820 | 340 | 11.7% | 0.65x | 8.2% · 319 checked | +5.23% | -4.82% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 171 | 140 / 31 | 13 | 9.3% | 0.52x | 7.7% · 13 checked | +4.39% | -6.84% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 14610 | 11160 / 3450 | 2036 | 18.2% | 1.01x | +6.30% | -4.82% |
| Score 90-109 | 413 | 345 / 68 | 39 | 11.3% | 0.63x | +4.86% | -6.07% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 75 | 61 / 14 | 12 | 19.7% | 1.09x | +5.58% | -5.66% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 13969 | 10602 / 3367 | 1970 | 18.6% | 1.03x | +6.36% | -4.76% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 238 | 211 / 27 | 26 | 12.3% | 0.68x | +5.08% | -6.88% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 759 | 649 / 110 | 69 | 10.6% | 0.59x | +4.99% | -5.68% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 460 | 356 / 104 | 112 | 31.5% | 1.75x | +8.46% | -9.05% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2148 | 1696 / 452 | 391 | 23.1% | 1.28x | +7.16% | -6.29% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7320 | 5716 / 1604 | 969 | 17% | 0.94x | +6.11% | -4.57% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5113 | 3755 / 1358 | 605 | 16.1% | 0.89x | +5.85% | -4.25% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 622 | 532 / 90 | 168 | 31.6% | 1.76x | +9.89% | -8.09% |
| Elevated | 4848 | 4040 / 808 | 1130 | 28% | 1.56x | +7.96% | -6.04% |
| Medium | 9284 | 6793 / 2491 | 779 | 11.5% | 0.64x | +5.03% | -3.93% |
| Low | 287 | 158 / 129 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.80% | -3.37% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2214 | 1696 / 518 | 619 | 36.5% | 2.03x | +9.72% | -8.39% |
| Energy | 630 | 483 / 147 | 113 | 23.4% | 1.3x | +6.84% | -3.50% |
| Materials | 780 | 598 / 182 | 130 | 21.7% | 1.21x | +6.58% | -4.26% |
| Communication Services | 664 | 503 / 161 | 103 | 20.5% | 1.14x | +6.61% | -4.88% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1410 | 1081 / 329 | 207 | 19.1% | 1.06x | +6.26% | -4.69% |
| Health Care | 1769 | 1356 / 413 | 241 | 17.8% | 0.99x | +7.00% | -4.10% |
| Industrials | 2398 | 1838 / 560 | 320 | 17.4% | 0.97x | +5.76% | -5.08% |
| Consumer Staples | 1048 | 803 / 245 | 95 | 11.8% | 0.66x | +5.52% | -4.05% |
| Financials | 2278 | 1746 / 532 | 196 | 11.2% | 0.62x | +5.11% | -3.44% |
| Real Estate | 920 | 706 / 214 | 41 | 5.8% | 0.32x | +4.10% | -3.83% |
| Utilities | 930 | 713 / 217 | 12 | 1.7% | 0.09x | +2.63% | -4.37% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.