Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-20 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4999 | 4474 / 525 | 510 | 11.4% | 0.56x | +5.06% | -5.06% |
| Grade F | 11060 | 9575 / 1485 | 2338 | 24.4% | 1.2x | +7.23% | -4.70% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 70 | 64 / 6 | 21.9% | 1.08x | 0.82x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.55% | -5.83% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 70 | 64 / 6 | 21.9% | 1.08x | 0.82x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.55% | -5.83% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 70 | 64 / 6 | 21.9% | 1.08x | 0.82x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.55% | -5.83% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 72 | 66 / 6 | 21.2% | 1.04x | 0.79x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.48% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 | 72 | 66 / 6 | 21.2% | 1.04x | 0.79x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.48% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 | 72 | 66 / 6 | 21.2% | 1.04x | 0.79x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.48% | -5.81% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 124 | 109 / 15 | 22.9% | 1.13x | 1.01x | 41.7% · 12 checked | +6.05% | -13.52% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 124 | 109 / 15 | 22.9% | 1.13x | 1.01x | 41.7% · 12 checked | +6.05% | -13.52% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 555 | 495 / 60 | 33.5% | 1.65x | 1.63x | 38.5% · 52 checked | +8.67% | -10.33% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 555 | 495 / 60 | 33.5% | 1.65x | 1.63x | 38.5% · 52 checked | +8.67% | -10.33% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 152 | 139 / 13 | 15.1% | 0.74x | 0.58x | 36.8% · 19 checked | +5.09% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 56 | 52 / 4 | 19.2% | 0.95x | 0.72x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +4.83% | -14.87% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 329 | 298 / 31 | 16.8% | 0.83x | 0.7x | 35.1% · 37 checked | +5.46% | -8.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 165 | 148 / 17 | 14.9% | 0.73x | 0.58x | 35% · 20 checked | +5.02% | -8.69% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 166 | 149 / 17 | 14.8% | 0.73x | 0.57x | 35% · 20 checked | +4.99% | -8.72% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 166 | 149 / 17 | 22 | 14.8% | 0.73x | 35% · 20 checked | +4.99% | -8.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 437 | 402 / 35 | 52 | 12.9% | 0.64x | 22.4% · 49 checked | +5.04% | -7.05% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4174 | 3714 / 460 | 443 | 11.9% | 0.59x | 18.2% · 467 checked | +5.18% | -5.12% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 232 | 207 / 25 | 23 | 11.1% | 0.55x | 25% · 24 checked | +4.49% | -7.36% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15508 | 13552 / 1956 | 2798 | 20.6% | 1.01x | +6.61% | -4.75% |
| Score 90-109 | 532 | 478 / 54 | 48 | 10% | 0.49x | +4.63% | -6.57% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14526 | 12657 / 1869 | 2685 | 21.2% | 1.04x | +6.70% | -4.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 72 | 66 / 6 | 14 | 21.2% | 1.04x | +5.48% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 365 | 336 / 29 | 38 | 11.3% | 0.56x | +4.96% | -7.30% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1096 | 990 / 106 | 111 | 11.2% | 0.55x | +5.03% | -5.60% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 555 | 495 / 60 | 166 | 33.5% | 1.65x | +8.67% | -10.33% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2530 | 2255 / 275 | 554 | 24.6% | 1.21x | +7.22% | -6.36% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8041 | 7104 / 937 | 1350 | 19% | 0.94x | +6.34% | -4.43% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4933 | 4195 / 738 | 778 | 18.5% | 0.91x | +6.25% | -3.99% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 793 | 683 / 110 | 244 | 35.7% | 1.76x | +9.45% | -8.34% |
| Elevated | 5593 | 4920 / 673 | 1486 | 30.2% | 1.49x | +8.10% | -6.33% |
| Medium | 9412 | 8216 / 1196 | 1113 | 13.5% | 0.67x | +5.44% | -3.68% |
| Low | 261 | 230 / 31 | 5 | 2.2% | 0.11x | +3.40% | -2.78% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2361 | 2065 / 296 | 804 | 38.9% | 1.92x | +9.81% | -8.93% |
| Communication Services | 716 | 624 / 92 | 170 | 27.2% | 1.34x | +7.20% | -5.03% |
| Energy | 672 | 588 / 84 | 150 | 25.5% | 1.26x | +6.98% | -3.57% |
| Health Care | 1886 | 1650 / 236 | 361 | 21.9% | 1.08x | +7.23% | -3.86% |
| Materials | 831 | 727 / 104 | 145 | 19.9% | 0.98x | +6.09% | -4.68% |
| Financials | 2430 | 2126 / 304 | 402 | 18.9% | 0.93x | +6.28% | -3.20% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1504 | 1316 / 188 | 249 | 18.9% | 0.93x | +6.24% | -4.74% |
| Industrials | 2558 | 2238 / 320 | 396 | 17.7% | 0.87x | +6.08% | -4.83% |
| Consumer Staples | 1118 | 979 / 139 | 109 | 11.1% | 0.55x | +5.43% | -3.96% |
| Real Estate | 991 | 868 / 123 | 47 | 5.4% | 0.27x | +4.15% | -3.78% |
| Utilities | 992 | 868 / 124 | 15 | 1.7% | 0.08x | +2.91% | -3.69% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.