Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-18 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4806 | 4245 / 561 | 474 | 11.2% | 0.55x | +5.04% | -5.09% |
| Grade F | 10752 | 9303 / 1449 | 2292 | 24.6% | 1.21x | +7.25% | -4.73% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 539 | 479 / 60 | 33.8% | 1.66x | 1.42x | 63.2% · 68 checked | +8.69% | -10.44% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 539 | 479 / 60 | 33.8% | 1.66x | 1.42x | 63.2% · 68 checked | +8.69% | -10.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 24 | 22 / 2 | 31.8% | 1.56x | 0.82x | 50% · 10 checked | +5.59% | -6.24% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 119 | 106 / 13 | 22.6% | 1.11x | 0.95x | 46.2% · 13 checked | +6.03% | -13.81% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 119 | 106 / 13 | 22.6% | 1.11x | 0.95x | 46.2% · 13 checked | +6.03% | -13.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 37 | 36 / 1 | 25% | 1.23x | 0.78x | 45.5% · 11 checked | +5.98% | -6.06% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Risk not High | 52 | 47 / 5 | 21.3% | 1.04x | 0.5x | 38.9% · 18 checked | +5.08% | -5.78% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 317 | 285 / 32 | 16.5% | 0.81x | 0.58x | 38% · 50 checked | +5.39% | -8.57% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 51 | 46 / 5 | 21.7% | 1.06x | 0.54x | 36.8% · 19 checked | +5.15% | -5.83% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 | 53 | 48 / 5 | 20.8% | 1.02x | 0.5x | 36.8% · 19 checked | +5.08% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 | 53 | 48 / 5 | 20.8% | 1.02x | 0.5x | 36.8% · 19 checked | +5.08% | -5.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 53 | 48 / 5 | 20.8% | 1.02x | 0.5x | 36.8% · 19 checked | +5.08% | -5.81% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 171 | 144 / 27 | 20.8% | 1.02x | 0.96x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +6.36% | -12.59% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 172 | 145 / 27 | 20.7% | 1.01x | 0.95x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +6.36% | -12.58% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 172 | 145 / 27 | 20.7% | 1.01x | 0.95x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +6.36% | -12.58% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 159 | 144 / 15 | 22 | 15.3% | 0.75x | 33.3% · 33 checked | +4.99% | -8.90% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 424 | 388 / 36 | 51 | 13.1% | 0.64x | 22.1% · 86 checked | +5.08% | -7.14% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4068 | 3550 / 518 | 413 | 11.6% | 0.57x | 16% · 607 checked | +5.16% | -5.16% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 224 | 198 / 26 | 22 | 11.1% | 0.54x | 19.5% · 41 checked | +4.50% | -7.46% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15032 | 13080 / 1952 | 2720 | 20.8% | 1.02x | +6.63% | -4.78% |
| Score 90-109 | 507 | 449 / 58 | 44 | 9.8% | 0.48x | +4.62% | -6.64% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14076 | 12211 / 1865 | 2613 | 21.4% | 1.05x | +6.73% | -4.71% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 69 | 63 / 6 | 13 | 20.6% | 1.01x | +5.44% | -5.83% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 355 | 325 / 30 | 38 | 11.7% | 0.57x | +5.01% | -7.40% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1058 | 949 / 109 | 102 | 10.7% | 0.52x | +5.00% | -5.60% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 539 | 479 / 60 | 162 | 33.8% | 1.66x | +8.69% | -10.44% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2443 | 2179 / 264 | 531 | 24.4% | 1.2x | +7.23% | -6.43% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7778 | 6841 / 937 | 1306 | 19.1% | 0.94x | +6.33% | -4.45% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4798 | 4049 / 749 | 767 | 18.9% | 0.93x | +6.34% | -3.99% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 774 | 658 / 116 | 235 | 35.7% | 1.75x | +9.18% | -8.42% |
| Elevated | 5445 | 4723 / 722 | 1441 | 30.5% | 1.5x | +8.15% | -6.40% |
| Medium | 9088 | 7941 / 1147 | 1085 | 13.7% | 0.67x | +5.48% | -3.67% |
| Low | 251 | 226 / 25 | 5 | 2.2% | 0.11x | +3.40% | -2.79% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2287 | 1991 / 296 | 774 | 38.9% | 1.91x | +9.84% | -9.04% |
| Communication Services | 695 | 603 / 92 | 164 | 27.2% | 1.33x | +7.16% | -5.09% |
| Energy | 651 | 567 / 84 | 136 | 24% | 1.18x | +6.75% | -3.66% |
| Health Care | 1827 | 1592 / 235 | 347 | 21.8% | 1.07x | +7.12% | -3.90% |
| Materials | 805 | 701 / 104 | 142 | 20.3% | 1x | +6.17% | -4.66% |
| Financials | 2354 | 2050 / 304 | 398 | 19.4% | 0.95x | +6.38% | -3.19% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1457 | 1269 / 188 | 246 | 19.4% | 0.95x | +6.33% | -4.72% |
| Industrials | 2478 | 2158 / 320 | 392 | 18.2% | 0.89x | +6.17% | -4.84% |
| Consumer Staples | 1083 | 944 / 139 | 106 | 11.2% | 0.55x | +5.37% | -3.99% |
| Real Estate | 960 | 836 / 124 | 46 | 5.5% | 0.27x | +4.23% | -3.71% |
| Utilities | 961 | 837 / 124 | 15 | 1.8% | 0.09x | +2.91% | -3.73% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.