Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-17 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4835 | 4192 / 643 | 477 | 11.4% | 0.55x | +5.12% | -5.12% |
| Grade F | 10726 | 9359 / 1367 | 2360 | 25.2% | 1.21x | +7.34% | -4.75% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 558 | 495 / 63 | 33.3% | 1.59x | 1.25x | 80.3% · 66 checked | +8.56% | -10.70% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 558 | 495 / 63 | 33.3% | 1.59x | 1.25x | 80.3% · 66 checked | +8.56% | -10.70% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 322 | 277 / 45 | 23.8% | 1.14x | 1.05x | 52.9% · 17 checked | +6.65% | -12.39% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 322 | 277 / 45 | 23.8% | 1.14x | 1.05x | 52.9% · 17 checked | +6.65% | -12.39% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3087 | 2741 / 346 | 26.4% | 1.26x | 1.14x | 40% · 438 checked | +7.57% | -7.22% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3057 | 2713 / 344 | 26.2% | 1.25x | 1.13x | 39.7% · 436 checked | +7.55% | -7.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 38 | 33 / 5 | 21.2% | 1.01x | 0.68x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +5.68% | -5.75% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 24 | 23 | 21 / 2 | 14.3% | 0.68x | 0x | 30% · 10 checked | +5.55% | -5.53% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 24 + Risk not High | 23 | 21 / 2 | 14.3% | 0.68x | 0x | 30% · 10 checked | +5.55% | -5.53% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 66 | 57 / 9 | 14% | 0.67x | 0.44x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +4.62% | -5.40% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 66 | 57 / 9 | 14% | 0.67x | 0.44x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +4.62% | -5.40% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 76 | 63 / 13 | 15.9% | 0.76x | 0.28x | 27.6% · 29 checked | +6.18% | -5.90% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 36 | 31 / 5 | 22.6% | 1.08x | 0.9x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +6.02% | -7.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 36 | 31 / 5 | 22.6% | 1.08x | 0.9x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +6.02% | -7.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 36 | 31 / 5 | 22.6% | 1.08x | 0.9x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +6.02% | -7.17% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 165 | 139 / 26 | 18 | 12.9% | 0.62x | 19.4% · 36 checked | +5.04% | -9.22% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 435 | 374 / 61 | 47 | 12.6% | 0.6x | 18.5% · 119 checked | +5.17% | -7.29% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4112 | 3520 / 592 | 419 | 11.9% | 0.57x | 14.8% · 610 checked | +5.24% | -5.20% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 233 | 197 / 36 | 22 | 11.2% | 0.54x | 10.2% · 59 checked | +4.79% | -7.55% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15027 | 13101 / 1926 | 2792 | 21.3% | 1.02x | +6.72% | -4.80% |
| Score 90-109 | 515 | 433 / 82 | 44 | 10.2% | 0.49x | +4.73% | -6.89% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14056 | 12265 / 1791 | 2683 | 21.9% | 1.05x | +6.82% | -4.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 72 | 61 / 11 | 11 | 18% | 0.86x | +5.64% | -6.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1070 | 912 / 158 | 107 | 11.7% | 0.56x | +5.05% | -5.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 363 | 313 / 50 | 36 | 11.5% | 0.55x | +5.08% | -7.45% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 558 | 495 / 63 | 165 | 33.3% | 1.59x | +8.56% | -10.70% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2529 | 2246 / 283 | 559 | 24.9% | 1.19x | +7.35% | -6.45% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7832 | 6854 / 978 | 1347 | 19.7% | 0.94x | +6.42% | -4.43% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4642 | 3956 / 686 | 766 | 19.4% | 0.93x | +6.44% | -3.98% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 777 | 664 / 113 | 239 | 36% | 1.72x | +9.31% | -8.49% |
| Elevated | 5437 | 4680 / 757 | 1467 | 31.3% | 1.5x | +8.25% | -6.52% |
| Medium | 9077 | 7958 / 1119 | 1118 | 14% | 0.67x | +5.59% | -3.66% |
| Low | 270 | 249 / 21 | 13 | 5.2% | 0.25x | +3.83% | -2.68% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2287 | 1991 / 296 | 782 | 39.3% | 1.88x | +9.87% | -9.19% |
| Communication Services | 697 | 605 / 92 | 164 | 27.1% | 1.3x | +7.12% | -5.13% |
| Health Care | 1827 | 1592 / 235 | 373 | 23.4% | 1.12x | +7.33% | -3.86% |
| Energy | 651 | 567 / 84 | 132 | 23.3% | 1.11x | +6.63% | -3.65% |
| Financials | 2354 | 2050 / 304 | 421 | 20.5% | 0.98x | +6.55% | -3.21% |
| Materials | 805 | 701 / 104 | 144 | 20.5% | 0.98x | +6.19% | -4.75% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1457 | 1269 / 188 | 243 | 19.1% | 0.91x | +6.35% | -4.77% |
| Industrials | 2478 | 2158 / 320 | 400 | 18.5% | 0.89x | +6.33% | -4.83% |
| Consumer Staples | 1083 | 944 / 139 | 112 | 11.9% | 0.57x | +5.39% | -3.99% |
| Real Estate | 961 | 837 / 124 | 50 | 6% | 0.29x | +4.40% | -3.65% |
| Utilities | 961 | 837 / 124 | 16 | 1.9% | 0.09x | +3.05% | -3.66% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.