Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-29 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 55 | 41 / 14 | 5 | 12.2% | 0.69x | +4.82% | -8.48% |
| Grade C | 147 | 120 / 27 | 29 | 24.2% | 1.37x | +6.70% | -12.91% |
| Grade D | 5831 | 4703 / 1128 | 548 | 11.7% | 0.66x | +5.38% | -5.00% |
| Grade F | 13050 | 10193 / 2857 | 2063 | 20.2% | 1.15x | +6.86% | -4.88% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 16 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 241 | 205 / 36 | 20% | 1.14x | 1.15x | 17.6% · 17 checked | +6.44% | -9.05% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 316 | 258 / 58 | 17.8% | 1.01x | 1.02x | 17.4% · 23 checked | +6.18% | -8.57% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 332 | 274 / 58 | 17.9% | 1.02x | 1.03x | 16% · 25 checked | +6.30% | -8.90% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 332 | 274 / 58 | 17.9% | 1.02x | 1.03x | 16% · 25 checked | +6.30% | -8.90% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Technical >= 20 + Risk not High | 288 | 247 / 41 | 16.6% | 0.94x | 0.95x | 15.8% · 19 checked | +5.88% | -8.00% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Technical >= 20 | 295 | 254 / 41 | 16.9% | 0.96x | 0.97x | 15% · 20 checked | +6.02% | -8.14% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2743 | 2228 / 515 | 16% | 0.91x | 0.92x | 14.1% · 262 checked | +6.09% | -6.07% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 2744 | 2228 / 516 | 16% | 0.91x | 0.92x | 14.1% · 262 checked | +6.09% | -6.07% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 2691 | 2178 / 513 | 15.7% | 0.89x | 0.9x | 14% · 258 checked | +6.05% | -5.94% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 392 | 326 / 66 | 15.6% | 0.89x | 0.9x | 13.8% · 29 checked | +5.84% | -7.79% |
| Money flow >= 16 + Risk not High | 392 | 326 / 66 | 15.6% | 0.89x | 0.9x | 13.8% · 29 checked | +5.84% | -7.79% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 9640 | 7682 / 1958 | 16.7% | 0.95x | 0.98x | 13.4% · 950 checked | +6.13% | -5.55% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 13287 | 10563 / 2724 | 18.6% | 1.06x | 1.1x | 13.2% · 1246 checked | +6.42% | -5.50% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 9327 | 7404 / 1923 | 16.3% | 0.93x | 0.95x | 13.2% · 924 checked | +6.06% | -5.37% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 12590 | 9997 / 2593 | 17.9% | 1.02x | 1.06x | 13% · 1183 checked | +6.31% | -5.29% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 202 | 161 / 41 | 34 | 21.1% | 1.2x | 0% · 10 checked | +6.22% | -11.78% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 509 | 366 / 143 | 59 | 16.1% | 0.91x | 5.3% · 19 checked | +5.65% | -8.45% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 284 | 220 / 64 | 34 | 15.5% | 0.88x | 7.7% · 13 checked | +5.68% | -8.94% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4805 | 3945 / 860 | 492 | 12.5% | 0.71x | 9.2% · 457 checked | +5.48% | -5.39% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.GEHC GE HealthCare | B 64.1 | 115.2 70.2/110 · 45/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.ADP Automatic Data Processing | B 65.2 | 108.1 66.1/110 · 42/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.MDLZ Mondelez International | B 64.7 | 102.1 66.1/110 · 36/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.ADBE Adobe Inc. | C 63.1 | 106 61/110 · 45/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.WDAY Workday, Inc. | C 63.1 | 102.6 59.6/110 · 43/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.INTU Intuit | C 63.7 | 102.1 60.1/110 · 42/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.CTSH Cognizant | C 62.9 | 100.2 57.2/110 · 43/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.ACN Accenture | C 62.6 | 99.6 61.6/110 · 38/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.NOW ServiceNow | C 62.6 | 96.9 58.9/110 · 38/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.CRM Salesforce | C 61.8 | 91.6 57.6/110 · 34/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.BKNG Booking Holdings | C 63 | 90.2 55.2/110 · 35/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 18480 | 14618 / 3862 | 2585 | 17.7% | 1.01x | +6.43% | -4.91% |
| Score 90-109 | 587 | 433 / 154 | 60 | 13.9% | 0.79x | +5.27% | -7.79% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 80 | 48 / 32 | 11 | 22.9% | 1.3x | +5.77% | -12.96% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 17277 | 13654 / 3623 | 2453 | 18% | 1.02x | +6.50% | -4.82% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 429 | 318 / 111 | 48 | 15.1% | 0.86x | +5.63% | -7.77% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1297 | 1037 / 260 | 133 | 12.8% | 0.73x | +5.17% | -6.03% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 703 | 588 / 115 | 162 | 27.6% | 1.57x | +7.93% | -10.73% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3093 | 2461 / 632 | 593 | 24.1% | 1.37x | +7.23% | -6.99% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9491 | 7514 / 1977 | 1213 | 16.1% | 0.91x | +6.03% | -4.61% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5796 | 4494 / 1302 | 677 | 15.1% | 0.86x | +6.33% | -3.79% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 894 | 726 / 168 | 231 | 31.8% | 1.81x | +8.27% | -8.84% |
| Elevated | 6413 | 5050 / 1363 | 1379 | 27.3% | 1.55x | +7.84% | -7.39% |
| Medium | 11413 | 8979 / 2434 | 1017 | 11.3% | 0.64x | +5.50% | -3.41% |
| Low | 363 | 302 / 61 | 18 | 6% | 0.34x | +4.33% | -2.47% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2805 | 2213 / 592 | 660 | 29.8% | 1.69x | +7.80% | -10.42% |
| Materials | 987 | 779 / 208 | 169 | 21.7% | 1.23x | +8.66% | -4.92% |
| Financials | 2886 | 2278 / 608 | 442 | 19.4% | 1.1x | +6.76% | -3.34% |
| Health Care | 2241 | 1769 / 472 | 339 | 19.2% | 1.09x | +6.82% | -3.80% |
| Communication Services | 863 | 677 / 186 | 122 | 18% | 1.02x | +5.68% | -6.24% |
| Energy | 798 | 630 / 168 | 113 | 17.9% | 1.02x | +5.57% | -4.91% |
| Industrials | 3032 | 2392 / 640 | 381 | 15.9% | 0.9x | +6.41% | -4.45% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1786 | 1410 / 376 | 222 | 15.7% | 0.89x | +5.81% | -4.83% |
| Consumer Staples | 1329 | 1049 / 280 | 126 | 12% | 0.68x | +5.58% | -3.64% |
| Real Estate | 1178 | 930 / 248 | 40 | 4.3% | 0.24x | +4.55% | -3.54% |
| Utilities | 1178 | 930 / 248 | 31 | 3.3% | 0.19x | +4.10% | -2.18% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.