Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-16 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 472 | 407 / 65 | 99 | 24.3% | 1.25x | +7.84% | -8.30% |
| Grade C | 47 | 39 / 8 | 17 | 43.6% | 2.24x | +9.33% | -8.36% |
| Grade D | 5785 | 4459 / 1326 | 603 | 13.5% | 0.69x | +5.85% | -4.92% |
| Grade F | 13781 | 10664 / 3117 | 2311 | 21.7% | 1.11x | +7.19% | -4.67% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 757 | 609 / 148 | 34.6% | 1.77x | 1.82x | 30.2% · 96 checked | +9.65% | -9.83% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 756 | 608 / 148 | 34.7% | 1.78x | 1.82x | 30.2% · 96 checked | +9.65% | -9.82% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 534 | 431 / 103 | 40.4% | 2.07x | 2.16x | 28.6% · 56 checked | +10.72% | -11.43% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 533 | 430 / 103 | 40.5% | 2.08x | 2.16x | 28.6% · 56 checked | +10.72% | -11.42% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 315 | 264 / 51 | 45.8% | 2.35x | 2.51x | 24.2% · 33 checked | +12.61% | -12.10% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 315 | 264 / 51 | 45.8% | 2.35x | 2.51x | 24.2% · 33 checked | +12.61% | -12.10% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 314 | 263 / 51 | 45.6% | 2.34x | 2.5x | 24.2% · 33 checked | +12.53% | -12.14% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 241 | 213 / 28 | 42.3% | 2.17x | 2.31x | 24.1% · 29 checked | +10.80% | -13.43% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 241 | 213 / 28 | 42.3% | 2.17x | 2.31x | 24.1% · 29 checked | +10.80% | -13.43% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 202 | 184 / 18 | 42.4% | 2.17x | 2.32x | 24% · 25 checked | +11.14% | -13.67% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 194 | 171 / 23 | 45% | 2.31x | 2.46x | 23.8% · 21 checked | +12.62% | -12.29% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 194 | 171 / 23 | 45% | 2.31x | 2.46x | 23.8% · 21 checked | +12.62% | -12.29% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 193 | 170 / 23 | 44.7% | 2.29x | 2.45x | 23.8% · 21 checked | +12.50% | -12.36% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 136 | 123 / 13 | 41.5% | 2.13x | 2.27x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +11.07% | -13.85% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 4003 | 3263 / 740 | 29.8% | 1.53x | 1.59x | 23.2% · 505 checked | +8.70% | -6.90% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 240 | 217 / 23 | 70 | 32.3% | 1.66x | 6.1% · 33 checked | +9.27% | -11.25% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 332 | 289 / 43 | 77 | 26.6% | 1.36x | 12.5% · 48 checked | +8.61% | -8.74% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 519 | 446 / 73 | 116 | 26% | 1.33x | 10.3% · 87 checked | +7.97% | -8.30% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 5013 | 3779 / 1234 | 616 | 16.3% | 0.84x | 8.5% · 612 checked | +6.42% | -5.50% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.PLD Prologis | B 68.9 | 112.4 76.4/110 · 36/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.CFG Citizens Financial Group | B 70.8 | 112.3 76.3/110 · 36/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.CTAS Cintas | B 70.2 | 106.7 64.7/110 · 42/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.DXCM Dexcom | B 67.2 | 98.3 63.3/110 · 35/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.PYPL PayPal | B 66.2 | 96.8 58.8/110 · 38/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.ABT Abbott Laboratories | B 68.3 | 95.4 60.4/110 · 35/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. | B 64.8 | 95.1 62.1/110 · 33/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.CHRW C.H. Robinson | B 68 | 94.7 62.7/110 · 32/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.DPZ Domino's | B 67 | 90.6 55.6/110 · 35/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.JBHT J.B. Hunt | B 67.1 | 105.1 70.1/110 · 35/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.IR Ingersoll Rand | B 68.1 | 103.5 63.5/110 · 40/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.ITW Illinois Tool Works | B 68 | 96 63/110 · 33/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.DG Dollar General | B 68.9 | 95.6 60.6/110 · 35/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 614 | 494 / 120 | 115 | 23.3% | 1.19x | +7.26% | -7.87% |
| Score < 90 | 19456 | 15065 / 4391 | 2911 | 19.3% | 0.99x | +6.80% | -4.74% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 86 | 78 / 8 | 28 | 35.9% | 1.84x | +10.48% | -11.63% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 433 | 368 / 65 | 88 | 23.9% | 1.23x | +7.44% | -7.60% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 18232 | 14105 / 4127 | 2726 | 19.3% | 0.99x | +6.82% | -4.65% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1334 | 1018 / 316 | 188 | 18.5% | 0.95x | +6.46% | -6.04% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 757 | 609 / 148 | 211 | 34.6% | 1.77x | +9.65% | -9.83% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3278 | 2682 / 596 | 767 | 28.6% | 1.47x | +8.45% | -6.30% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9934 | 7760 / 2174 | 1313 | 16.9% | 0.87x | +6.21% | -4.61% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 6116 | 4518 / 1598 | 739 | 16.4% | 0.84x | +6.56% | -3.72% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 930 | 706 / 224 | 291 | 41.2% | 2.11x | +10.42% | -7.88% |
| Elevated | 6727 | 5155 / 1572 | 1714 | 33.2% | 1.7x | +9.26% | -6.85% |
| Medium | 11986 | 9326 / 2660 | 1007 | 10.8% | 0.55x | +5.33% | -3.57% |
| Low | 442 | 382 / 60 | 18 | 4.7% | 0.24x | +3.96% | -3.19% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2953 | 2294 / 659 | 963 | 42% | 2.15x | +10.89% | -9.12% |
| Health Care | 2359 | 1828 / 531 | 409 | 22.4% | 1.15x | +7.22% | -3.41% |
| Materials | 1039 | 805 / 234 | 179 | 22.2% | 1.14x | +8.80% | -4.96% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1880 | 1457 / 423 | 273 | 18.7% | 0.96x | +6.55% | -4.64% |
| Financials | 3038 | 2356 / 682 | 428 | 18.2% | 0.93x | +6.41% | -3.65% |
| Industrials | 3183 | 2465 / 718 | 400 | 16.2% | 0.83x | +6.63% | -4.07% |
| Communication Services | 914 | 706 / 208 | 114 | 16.1% | 0.83x | +5.21% | -6.24% |
| Consumer Staples | 1399 | 1085 / 314 | 125 | 11.5% | 0.59x | +5.26% | -4.23% |
| Energy | 840 | 651 / 189 | 60 | 9.2% | 0.47x | +4.15% | -5.90% |
| Real Estate | 1240 | 961 / 279 | 45 | 4.7% | 0.24x | +4.39% | -3.73% |
| Utilities | 1240 | 961 / 279 | 34 | 3.5% | 0.18x | +3.90% | -2.56% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.