Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-06 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 524 | 378 / 146 | 122 | 32.3% | 1.81x | +9.37% | -8.29% |
| Grade B | 58 | 35 / 23 | 18 | 51.4% | 2.89x | +10.35% | -4.43% |
| Grade D | 5770 | 4058 / 1712 | 560 | 13.8% | 0.78x | +5.96% | -5.08% |
| Grade F | 13726 | 10587 / 3139 | 1986 | 18.8% | 1.06x | +6.83% | -4.75% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No combination cleared min sample and validation filters yet. | ||||||||
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 300 | 232 / 68 | 96 | 41.4% | 2.33x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +11.19% | -10.20% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 394 | 297 / 97 | 105 | 35.4% | 1.99x | 29.4% · 17 checked | +10.23% | -8.21% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 596 | 421 / 175 | 143 | 34% | 1.91x | 30.4% · 23 checked | +9.47% | -8.03% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4899 | 3440 / 1459 | 629 | 18.3% | 1.03x | 22.7% · 419 checked | +6.82% | -5.59% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation | A 85.2 | 103.2 70.2/110 · 33/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.RMD ResMed | A 83.7 | 105.9 64.9/110 · 41/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical | A 82 | 94.7 63.7/110 · 31/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.FTNT Fortinet | A 78.4 | 93.2 62.2/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.MRNA Moderna | A 78.8 | 91.1 54.1/110 · 37/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.SPGI S&P Global | A 79.2 | 90.3 57.3/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.MCO Moody's Corporation | A 80 | 88.9 58.9/110 · 30/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.AIG American International Group | A 79.8 | 90.7 59.7/110 · 31/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.AMP Ameriprise Financial | B 76.6 | 90 57/110 · 33/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.AXON Axon Enterprise | C 75.2 | 88.1 58.1/110 · 30/50 | High | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 693 | 495 / 198 | 147 | 29.7% | 1.67x | +8.50% | -7.52% |
| Score < 90 | 19387 | 14560 / 4827 | 2538 | 17.4% | 0.98x | +6.59% | -4.84% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 120 | 108 / 12 | 42 | 38.9% | 2.19x | +10.94% | -10.04% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 476 | 313 / 163 | 101 | 32.3% | 1.81x | +8.96% | -7.34% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1327 | 847 / 480 | 180 | 21.3% | 1.2x | +7.06% | -6.41% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 18169 | 13798 / 4371 | 2366 | 17.1% | 0.96x | +6.56% | -4.74% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 759 | 547 / 212 | 186 | 34% | 1.91x | +9.92% | -8.70% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3372 | 2469 / 903 | 730 | 29.6% | 1.66x | +8.98% | -6.20% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9988 | 7445 / 2543 | 1135 | 15.2% | 0.85x | +5.99% | -4.80% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5973 | 4605 / 1368 | 638 | 13.9% | 0.78x | +6.13% | -4.02% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 894 | 601 / 293 | 249 | 41.4% | 2.33x | +10.48% | -7.98% |
| Elevated | 6734 | 5005 / 1729 | 1630 | 32.6% | 1.83x | +9.43% | -6.78% |
| Medium | 12014 | 9121 / 2893 | 797 | 8.7% | 0.49x | +5.00% | -3.76% |
| Low | 450 | 339 / 111 | 13 | 3.8% | 0.21x | +3.88% | -3.55% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2958 | 2220 / 738 | 975 | 43.9% | 2.47x | +11.91% | -8.39% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1880 | 1410 / 470 | 300 | 21.3% | 1.2x | +6.95% | -4.85% |
| Materials | 1039 | 780 / 259 | 164 | 21% | 1.18x | +8.61% | -5.47% |
| Health Care | 2359 | 1770 / 589 | 336 | 19% | 1.07x | +6.62% | -3.91% |
| Industrials | 3178 | 2378 / 800 | 365 | 15.3% | 0.86x | +6.31% | -4.25% |
| Consumer Staples | 1399 | 1049 / 350 | 114 | 10.9% | 0.61x | +5.18% | -4.34% |
| Financials | 3040 | 2280 / 760 | 239 | 10.5% | 0.59x | +5.35% | -3.95% |
| Communication Services | 919 | 689 / 230 | 60 | 8.7% | 0.49x | +4.13% | -6.33% |
| Energy | 840 | 630 / 210 | 50 | 7.9% | 0.44x | +4.29% | -5.74% |
| Utilities | 1240 | 930 / 310 | 45 | 4.8% | 0.27x | +3.92% | -2.84% |
| Real Estate | 1240 | 930 / 310 | 41 | 4.4% | 0.25x | +4.25% | -3.59% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.