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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-17

Computed at 2026年9月18日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 6

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-09-17

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-17
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-17
DOE window 2026-07-10 → 2026-09-14
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月18日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 6
Excluded downtrends 4
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.3–3.9

OOS n=759 Median 0.09%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.3–3.9

+0.09% OOS median · n=759

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +3.57% ann. net · n=722

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

4 - 4.5 · +0.43% exp · 64D WF

Opp study rows 25,856 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-17

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 33 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-09-11

9 檔
  1. #1 TECH P75+4.60% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 1.3% Opp3.888 開富途
  2. #2 CAH P75+3.73% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.822 開富途
  3. #3 A P75+4.04% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.788 開富途
  4. #4 SBUX P75+3.50% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn18.8% / 2.5% Opp3.707 開富途
  5. #5 JBL P75+3.98% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 6.3% Opp3.663 開富途
  6. #6 AMAT P75+3.77% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn22.5% / 8.8% Opp3.459 開富途
  7. #7 TMO P75+3.03% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.401 開富途
  8. #8 MRK P75+4.44% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.398 開富途
  9. #9 WST P75+3.51% 上漲比60% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.336 開富途

2026-09-16

9 檔
  1. #1 CINF P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.835 開富途
  2. #2 KMI P75+4.66% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn23.8% / 2.5% Opp3.782 開富途
  3. #3 HAL P75+4.16% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.74 開富途
  4. #4 ZBRA P75+8.01% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 20% Opp3.731 開富途
  5. #5 MS P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 3.8% Opp3.528 開富途
  6. #6 COHR P75+5.21% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn26.3% / 16.3% Opp3.526 開富途
  7. #7 SYF P75+3.10% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.395 開富途
  8. #8 RJF P75+2.94% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.367 開富途
  9. #9 PRU P75+2.55% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.348 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.IVZ P75+4.30% 上漲比65% Up/Dn18.8% / 7.5% Opp3.834 開富途
  2. #2 US.BKR P75+4.66% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.814 開富途
  3. #3 US.KDP P75+3.04% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.692 開富途
  4. #4 US.GLW P75+8.70% 上漲比55% Up/Dn33.8% / 15% Opp3.511 開富途
  5. #5 US.SLB P75+3.98% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp3.368 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.3–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.IVZ Invesco · Financials

+1.65%

P75+4.30% 上漲比65% Up/Dn18.8% / 7.5% Score47.9 Opp3.834
View chart 開富途
#2 US.BKR Baker Hughes · Energy

+1.33%

P75+4.66% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score48.6 Opp3.814
View chart 開富途
#3 US.KDP Keurig Dr Pepper · Consumer Staples

+1.31%

P75+3.04% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score56.2 Opp3.692
View chart 開富途
#4 US.GLW Corning Inc. · Information Technology

+1.47%

P75+8.70% 上漲比55% Up/Dn33.8% / 15% Score48.8 Opp3.511
View chart 開富途
#5 US.SLB Schlumberger · Energy

+1.56%

P75+3.98% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Score47.9 Opp3.368
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AIZ Assurant · Financials

+1.19%

P75+2.72% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Score70.1 Opp3.318
View chart 開富途