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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-05-29

Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午6:03 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 9

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-05-29

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-29
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-29
DOE window 2026-04-14 → 2026-05-26
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午6:03 HKT
Rows 9
Excluded downtrends 4
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=709 Median 0.16%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.16% OOS median · n=709

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +25.24% ann. net · n=1158

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.74% exp · 72D WF

Opp study rows 26,014 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-15

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 29 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-05-29

9 檔
  1. #1 XOM P75+4.53% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.69 開富途
  2. #2 GNRC P75+3.50% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp3.6 開富途
  3. #3 KMI P75+3.81% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.471 開富途
  4. #4 CIEN P75+6.68% 上漲比60% Up/Dn35% / 17.5% Opp3.43 開富途
  5. #5 J P75+5.72% 上漲比60% Up/Dn32.5% / 2.5% Opp3.394 開富途
  6. #6 CSCO P75+7.19% 上漲比60% Up/Dn32.5% / 17.5% Opp3.346 開富途
  7. #7 HAL P75+4.32% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.323 開富途
  8. #8 CCL P75+5.09% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Opp3.278 開富途
  9. #9 COF P75+3.20% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.227 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.XOM P75+4.53% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.69 開富途
  2. #2 US.GNRC P75+3.50% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp3.6 開富途
  3. #3 US.KMI P75+3.81% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.471 開富途
  4. #4 US.CIEN P75+6.68% 上漲比60% Up/Dn35% / 17.5% Opp3.43 開富途
  5. #5 US.J P75+5.72% 上漲比60% Up/Dn32.5% / 2.5% Opp3.394 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.XOM ExxonMobil · Energy

+1.14%

P75+4.53% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score55.6 Opp3.69
View chart 開富途
#2 US.GNRC Generac · Industrials

+1.37%

P75+3.50% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Score80.7 Opp3.6
View chart 開富途
#3 US.KMI Kinder Morgan · Energy

+0.87%

P75+3.81% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score59.8 Opp3.471
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CIEN Ciena · Information Technology

+1.47%

P75+6.68% 上漲比60% Up/Dn35% / 17.5% Score72 Opp3.43
View chart 開富途
#5 US.J Jacobs Solutions · Industrials

+0.77%

P75+5.72% 上漲比60% Up/Dn32.5% / 2.5% Score72.5 Opp3.394
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

+1.25%

P75+7.19% 上漲比60% Up/Dn32.5% / 17.5% Score73.1 Opp3.346
View chart 開富途
#7 US.HAL Halliburton · Energy

+0.77%

P75+4.32% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score56.4 Opp3.323
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

+1.70%

P75+5.09% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Score80.7 Opp3.278
View chart 開富途
#9 US.COF Capital One · Financials

+0.89%

P75+3.20% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score71.6 Opp3.227
View chart 開富途