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歷史相似情境研究排名
依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。
以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。
Research status
stale · 2026-04-22
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe
Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.
View gaps
opp_study_date_mismatch· Opp study date mismatch
1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-17
5-day calendar
過去 5 個交易日
每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。
共 22 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔
2026-04-16
6 檔- #1 MCHP P75+6.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn29.7% / 16.3% Opp3.861 開富途
- #2 WDC P75+6.54% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn31.3% / 13.8% Opp3.772 開富途
- #3 OMC P75+4.71% 上漲比63.4% Up/Dn23.8% / 9.7% Opp3.588 開富途
- #4 MU P75+6.34% 上漲比60.9% Up/Dn30% / 14.1% Opp3.56 開富途
- #5 MPWR P75+6.33% 上漲比59.1% Up/Dn29.1% / 16.6% Opp3.535 開富途
- #6 TPL P75+3.53% 上漲比64.7% Up/Dn18.1% / 6.9% Opp3.336 開富途
2026-04-17
4 檔2026-04-20
5 檔2026-04-21
7 檔- #1 DELL P75+4.94% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 14.4% Opp3.876 開富途
- #2 SYF P75+2.75% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.864 開富途
- #3 ADI P75+5.03% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn26.3% / 11.9% Opp3.829 開富途
- #4 XYZ P75+3.72% 上漲比64.4% Up/Dn16.3% / 3.1% Opp3.62 開富途
- #5 TRV P75+3.16% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.9% Opp3.574 開富途
- #6 CB P75+2.62% 上漲比65.6% Up/Dn11.3% / 0.6% Opp3.5 開富途
- #7 ACGL P75+2.70% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0.6% Opp3.372 開富途
2026-04-22
4 檔Top opportunities
Top 5 quick look
Upside leaders
Ranking notes
依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。
Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.3–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.
Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.
Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.
#1 US.STT
+1.08%
P75+2.69%
上漲比67.5%
Up/Dn11.7% / 0%
Score70.4
Opp3.681
#2 US.IVZ
+1.16%
P75+3.44%
上漲比65%
Up/Dn15.8% / 4.2%
Score76.6
Opp3.543
#3 US.ADI
+1.44%
P75+4.68%
上漲比61.7%
Up/Dn21.7% / 10%
Score78.3
Opp3.533
#4 US.NXPI
+1.26%
P75+4.42%
上漲比60.8%
Up/Dn21.7% / 5%
Score73.9
Opp3.483