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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=320 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-04-09

Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午6:07 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 1

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=320

As-of 2026-04-09

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-04-09
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-04-09
DOE window 2026-02-23 → 2026-04-06
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午6:07 HKT
Rows 1
Excluded downtrends 6
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau n/a

Block-bootstrap 95% lower bound of combined lift is not positive.

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

Block-bootstrap 95% lower bound of combined lift is not positive.

Best holding day 3D

4 - 4.5 · +27.76% ann. net · n=522

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

4 - 4.5 · +0.2% exp · 58D WF

Opp study rows 25,757 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-18

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 28 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-04-02

24 檔
  1. #1 KEYS P75+7.65% 上漲比75% Up/Dn32.5% / 5% Opp6.45 開富途
  2. #2 FFIV P75+6.09% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn30% / 7.5% Opp5.56 開富途
  3. #3 MU P75+6.51% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn40% / 12.5% Opp5.015 開富途
  4. #4 DVN P75+3.17% 上漲比80% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp4.933 開富途
  5. #5 OKE P75+3.29% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp4.658 開富途
  6. #6 KMI P75+3.17% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp4.304 開富途
  7. #7 TRGP P75+3.00% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.901 開富途
  8. #8 EQT P75+4.73% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25% / 15% Opp3.731 開富途
  9. #9 COP P75+2.51% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.014 開富途
  10. #10 FCX P75+5.00% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Opp3.001 開富途
  11. #11 VLO P75+4.40% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp2.952 開富途
  12. #12 BKR P75+4.47% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp2.874 開富途
  13. #13 OXY P75+4.67% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 5% Opp2.774 開富途
  14. #14 NEM P75+5.06% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25% / 10% Opp2.757 開富途
  15. #15 TER P75+4.10% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20% / 10% Opp2.542 開富途
  16. #16 DOW P75+4.62% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Opp2.473 開富途
  17. #17 SNDK P75+4.44% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp2.464 開富途
  18. #18 TPL P75+4.73% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 15% Opp2.447 開富途
  19. #19 APA P75+4.47% 上漲比55% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp2.203 開富途
  20. #20 COHR P75+4.59% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 10% Opp2.116 開富途
  21. #21 CHRW P75+3.69% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp1.892 開富途
  22. #22 CCI P75+1.78% 上漲比55% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp1.889 開富途
  23. #23 ETR P75+1.40% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp1.378 開富途
  24. #24 DAL P75+4.10% 上漲比50% Up/Dn20% / 10% Opp0.582 開富途

2026-04-08

0 檔

Materialized projections exist but none pass the current filters.

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.NTAP P75+4.35% 上漲比59.4% Up/Dn22.2% / 11.6% Opp2.379 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

No qualified stable Opp plateau — Opp filter not auto-applied. Set Min/Max Opp manually, or rematerialize Opp study. (Block-bootstrap 95% lower bound of combined lift is not positive.)

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

+0.86%

P75+4.35% 上漲比59.4% Up/Dn22.2% / 11.6% Score50 Opp2.379
View chart 開富途