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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-03-24

Computed at 2026年7月8日 下午12:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 26

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-03-24

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-03-24
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-03-24
DOE window 2026-02-05 → 2026-03-19
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月8日 下午12:47 HKT
Rows 26
Excluded downtrends 9
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau n/a

Block-bootstrap 95% lower bound of combined lift is not positive.

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

Block-bootstrap 95% lower bound of combined lift is not positive.

Best holding day 3D

4 - 4.5 · +27.76% ann. net · n=522

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

4 - 4.5 · +0.2% exp · 58D WF

Opp study rows 25,757 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-18

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 76 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-03-18

23 檔
  1. #1 OKE P75+3.08% 上漲比82.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp5.859 開富途
  2. #2 KMI P75+3.56% 上漲比82.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp5.557 開富途
  3. #3 CVX P75+3.37% 上漲比80% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp5.527 開富途
  4. #4 TRGP P75+3.70% 上漲比80% Up/Dn20% / 5% Opp5.522 開富途
  5. #5 EXE P75+3.07% 上漲比80% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp5.466 開富途
  6. #6 VLO P75+3.71% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp5.43 開富途
  7. #7 COP P75+3.49% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp5.287 開富途
  8. #8 WMB P75+3.22% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp5.224 開富途
  9. #9 LYB P75+6.11% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 7.5% Opp4.753 開富途
  10. #10 OXY P75+3.37% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp4.707 開富途
  11. #11 TPL P75+4.05% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp4.699 開富途
  12. #12 EQT P75+3.35% 上漲比75% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp4.662 開富途
  13. #13 TER P75+5.60% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 10% Opp3.976 開富途
  14. #14 WMT P75+3.80% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp3.968 開富途
  15. #15 COHR P75+3.32% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.963 開富途
  16. #16 ATO P75+2.78% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.95 開富途
  17. #17 EOG P75+3.08% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.835 開富途
  18. #18 PSX P75+3.65% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.389 開富途
  19. #19 DOW P75+4.93% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25% / 5% Opp2.987 開富途
  20. #20 APA P75+2.62% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp2.932 開富途
  21. #21 MPC P75+2.05% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp1.984 開富途
  22. #22 Q P75+4.72% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Opp1.559 開富途
  23. #23 GNRC P75+2.92% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp1.075 開富途

2026-03-19

25 檔
  1. #1 VLO P75+4.54% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 0% Opp5.687 開富途
  2. #2 ADM P75+3.94% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp5.236 開富途
  3. #3 MPC P75+3.71% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp4.814 開富途
  4. #4 EOG P75+3.08% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp4.807 開富途
  5. #5 EME P75+3.29% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp4.667 開富途
  6. #6 TPL P75+4.08% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp4.489 開富途
  7. #7 Q P75+5.41% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 12.5% Opp4.438 開富途
  8. #8 BKR P75+3.51% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp4.338 開富途
  9. #9 CVX P75+3.02% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp4.311 開富途
  10. #10 ES P75+3.49% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp3.954 開富途
  11. #11 TER P75+5.07% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25% / 10% Opp3.832 開富途
  12. #12 TRGP P75+3.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.525 開富途
  13. #13 D P75+2.10% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.379 開富途
  14. #14 SLB P75+3.32% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.29 開富途
  15. #15 FE P75+2.09% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.279 開富途
  16. #16 APA P75+2.81% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.268 開富途
  17. #17 ON P75+5.03% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 7.5% Opp2.316 開富途
  18. #18 PCG P75+1.69% 上漲比60% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp1.987 開富途
  19. #19 HII P75+3.70% 上漲比55% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp1.801 開富途
  20. #20 XEL P75+1.78% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp1.703 開富途
  21. #21 STZ P75+3.07% 上漲比50% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp1.566 開富途
  22. #22 KLAC P75+5.27% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Opp1.509 開富途
  23. #23 GNRC P75+3.98% 上漲比55% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Opp1.428 開富途
  24. #24 NTAP P75+6.82% 上漲比50% Up/Dn30% / 12.5% Opp1.383 開富途
  25. #25 ANET P75+4.22% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn25% / 15% Opp0.923 開富途

2026-03-20

42 檔
  1. #1 COHR P75+5.85% 上漲比70% Up/Dn32.5% / 7.5% Opp5.854 開富途
  2. #2 NEE P75+3.13% 上漲比85% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp5.622 開富途
  3. #3 APA P75+4.72% 上漲比70% Up/Dn25% / 0% Opp5.361 開富途
  4. #4 TPL P75+4.08% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp5.291 開富途
  5. #5 SLB P75+3.61% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp4.855 開富途
  6. #6 EXE P75+2.90% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp4.795 開富途
  7. #7 AEP P75+2.80% 上漲比80% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp4.774 開富途
  8. #8 FDX P75+3.70% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp4.756 開富途
  9. #9 KEYS P75+4.24% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp4.55 開富途
  10. #10 INTC P75+6.81% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn35% / 17.5% Opp4.519 開富途
  11. #11 ON P75+7.23% 上漲比60% Up/Dn35% / 15% Opp4.491 開富途
  12. #12 TRGP P75+2.58% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp4.235 開富途
  13. #13 PEG P75+3.49% 上漲比75% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp4.157 開富途
  14. #14 PNW P75+4.13% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp4.115 開富途
  15. #15 DD P75+7.06% 上漲比60% Up/Dn35% / 15% Opp3.939 開富途
  16. #16 FLEX P75+6.09% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp3.937 開富途
  17. #17 ETR P75+4.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.919 開富途
  18. #18 OKE P75+3.02% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.877 開富途
  19. #19 AEE P75+3.49% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.759 開富途
  20. #20 DUK P75+3.49% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.758 開富途
  21. #21 ES P75+4.38% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.739 開富途
  22. #22 XOM P75+3.06% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.731 開富途
  23. #23 LYB P75+5.52% 上漲比55% Up/Dn27.5% / 5% Opp3.571 開富途
  24. #24 D P75+2.01% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.536 開富途
  25. #25 FE P75+3.49% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.514 開富途
  26. #26 KMI P75+2.99% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.436 開富途
  27. #27 CF P75+4.18% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn20% / 10% Opp3.399 開富途
  28. #28 KR P75+3.08% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.239 開富途
  29. #29 KLAC P75+5.72% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Opp2.808 開富途
  30. #30 MRNA P75+4.86% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Opp2.554 開富途
  31. #31 PCG P75+2.78% 上漲比60% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp2.538 開富途
  32. #32 CASY P75+1.85% 上漲比60% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp2.523 開富途
  33. #33 SRE P75+1.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp2.451 開富途
  34. #34 AMAT P75+5.30% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 10% Opp2.292 開富途
  35. #35 ADM P75+3.00% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp2.269 開富途
  36. #36 Q P75+5.32% 上漲比55% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Opp1.798 開富途
  37. #37 GNRC P75+4.13% 上漲比55% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp1.764 開富途
  38. #38 AKAM P75+6.35% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Opp1.763 開富途
  39. #39 FIX P75+3.79% 上漲比55% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp1.583 開富途
  40. #40 AVGO P75+2.77% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp1.514 開富途
  41. #41 LHX P75+2.80% 上漲比45% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp0.467 開富途
  42. #42 JBL P75+5.62% 上漲比47.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp0.456 開富途

2026-03-23

17 檔
  1. #1 TPL P75+4.18% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp5.135 開富途
  2. #2 VLO P75+4.18% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp4.933 開富途
  3. #3 Q P75+5.57% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 7.5% Opp3.867 開富途
  4. #4 APA P75+4.41% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.797 開富途
  5. #5 MPC P75+4.23% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 0% Opp3.668 開富途
  6. #6 AKAM P75+8.03% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn35% / 15% Opp3.445 開富途
  7. #7 SLB P75+3.88% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp2.965 開富途
  8. #8 CIEN P75+5.30% 上漲比60% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Opp2.864 開富途
  9. #9 LITE P75+4.44% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Opp2.64 開富途
  10. #10 LRCX P75+7.64% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 12.5% Opp2.142 開富途
  11. #11 FFIV P75+4.22% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 10% Opp1.728 開富途
  12. #12 CF P75+5.43% 上漲比50% Up/Dn27.5% / 15% Opp1.329 開富途
  13. #13 ON P75+2.16% 上漲比55% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp1.214 開富途
  14. #14 TER P75+2.22% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp0.841 開富途
  15. #15 DOV P75+2.70% 上漲比40% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp-0.501 開富途
  16. #16 DELL P75+5.37% 上漲比42.5% Up/Dn25% / 15% Opp-0.526 開富途
  17. #17 TDY P75+1.31% 上漲比40% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp-1.098 開富途

2026-03-24

26 檔
  1. #1 WMB P75+3.89% 上漲比87.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp7.006 開富途
  2. #2 SLB P75+3.61% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp5.506 開富途
  3. #3 EQT P75+3.51% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp5.424 開富途
  4. #4 EOG P75+3.08% 上漲比80% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp5.372 開富途
  5. #5 VLO P75+4.18% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp5.028 開富途
  6. #6 COHR P75+5.75% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn30% / 5% Opp4.835 開富途
  7. #7 TPL P75+4.18% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp4.742 開富途
  8. #8 APA P75+3.17% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp4.735 開富途
  9. #9 KEYS P75+3.61% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.996 開富途
  10. #10 APD P75+3.76% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.957 開富途
  11. #11 MPC P75+3.84% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.648 開富途
  12. #12 TRGP P75+2.23% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.637 開富途
  13. #13 GEV P75+2.47% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.418 開富途
  14. #14 ALB P75+4.31% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp3.331 開富途
  15. #15 LITE P75+6.67% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 22.5% Opp3.198 開富途
  16. #16 CIEN P75+6.20% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 22.5% Opp2.53 開富途
  17. #17 TER P75+4.44% 上漲比55% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Opp1.831 開富途
  18. #18 ON P75+2.62% 上漲比55% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp1.765 開富途
  19. #19 DD P75+5.43% 上漲比50% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp1.399 開富途
  20. #20 WEC P75+1.47% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp1.029 開富途
  21. #21 XEL P75+1.29% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp0.969 開富途
  22. #22 PWR P75+5.01% 上漲比50% Up/Dn25% / 15% Opp0.582 開富途
  23. #23 LNT P75+1.28% 上漲比47.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp0.44 開富途
  24. #24 DAL P75+1.55% 上漲比47.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp-0.072 開富途
  25. #25 DOW P75+3.76% 上漲比42.5% Up/Dn20% / 10% Opp-0.726 開富途
  26. #26 DOV P75+1.89% 上漲比40% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp-0.923 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.WMB P75+3.89% 上漲比87.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp7.006 開富途
  2. #2 US.SLB P75+3.61% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp5.506 開富途
  3. #3 US.EQT P75+3.51% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp5.424 開富途
  4. #4 US.EOG P75+3.08% 上漲比80% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp5.372 開富途
  5. #5 US.VLO P75+4.18% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp5.028 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

No qualified stable Opp plateau — Opp filter not auto-applied. Set Min/Max Opp manually, or rematerialize Opp study. (Block-bootstrap 95% lower bound of combined lift is not positive.)

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.WMB Williams Companies · Energy

+2.51%

P75+3.89% 上漲比87.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Score69.8 Opp7.006
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SLB Schlumberger · Energy

+2.29%

P75+3.61% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score68.5 Opp5.506
View chart 開富途
#3 US.EQT EQT Corporation · Energy

+2.21%

P75+3.51% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score64.9 Opp5.424
View chart 開富途
#4 US.EOG EOG Resources · Energy

+1.66%

P75+3.08% 上漲比80% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score72.3 Opp5.372
View chart 開富途
#5 US.VLO Valero Energy · Energy

+1.55%

P75+4.18% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score57.8 Opp5.028
View chart 開富途
#6 US.COHR Coherent Corp. · Information Technology

+1.79%

P75+5.75% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn30% / 5% Score67.6 Opp4.835
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation · Energy

+1.62%

P75+4.18% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score56.9 Opp4.742
View chart 開富途
#8 US.APA APA Corporation · Energy

+1.93%

P75+3.17% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score81.7 Opp4.735
View chart 開富途
#9 US.KEYS Keysight Technologies · Information Technology

+1.41%

P75+3.61% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score57.8 Opp3.996
View chart 開富途
#10 US.APD Air Products · Materials

+1.07%

P75+3.76% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score66.3 Opp3.957
View chart 開富途
#11 US.MPC Marathon Petroleum · Energy

+1.13%

P75+3.84% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score74.4 Opp3.648
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TRGP Targa Resources · Energy

+0.85%

P75+2.23% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score57.2 Opp3.637
View chart 開富途
#13 US.GEV GE Vernova · Industrials

+1.15%

P75+2.47% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score73.4 Opp3.418
View chart 開富途
#14 US.ALB Albemarle Corporation · Materials

+1.20%

P75+4.31% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Score67.1 Opp3.331
View chart 開富途
#15 US.LITE Lumentum · Information Technology

+1.64%

P75+6.67% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 22.5% Score85.4 Opp3.198
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#16 US.CIEN Ciena · Information Technology

+1.10%

P75+6.20% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn32.5% / 22.5% Score84 Opp2.53
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#17 US.TER Teradyne · Information Technology

+0.40%

P75+4.44% 上漲比55% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Score69.5 Opp1.831
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#18 US.ON ON Semiconductor · Information Technology

+0.43%

P75+2.62% 上漲比55% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score57.4 Opp1.765
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#19 US.DD DuPont · Materials

+0.34%

P75+5.43% 上漲比50% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Score60.2 Opp1.399
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#20 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

+0.19%

P75+1.47% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score56.2 Opp1.029
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#21 US.XEL Xcel Energy · Utilities

+0.19%

P75+1.29% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score54.2 Opp0.969
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#22 US.PWR Quanta Services · Industrials

-0.29%

P75+5.01% 上漲比50% Up/Dn25% / 15% Score69.3 Opp0.582
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#23 US.LNT Alliant Energy · Utilities

-0.09%

P75+1.28% 上漲比47.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score54.6 Opp0.44
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#24 US.DAL Delta Air Lines · Industrials

-0.58%

P75+1.55% 上漲比47.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score62.7 Opp-0.072
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#25 US.DOW Dow Inc. · Materials

-0.98%

P75+3.76% 上漲比42.5% Up/Dn20% / 10% Score68.5 Opp-0.726
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#26 US.DOV Dover Corporation · Industrials

-0.90%

P75+1.89% 上漲比40% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score60.6 Opp-0.923
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