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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=320 · horizon 3D · 已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原：3.4–3.9 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原：3.4–3.9 （上限為半開區間）。 勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部，或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-01-13

Computed at 2026年7月10日 上午9:42 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

Filters
View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 3

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=320

As-of 2026-01-13

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-01-13
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-01-13
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-08
DOE anchors 16
Computed at 2026年7月10日 上午9:42 HKT
Rows 3
Excluded downtrends 0
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.4–3.9

OOS n=619 Median 0.07%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.4–3.9

+0.07% OOS median · n=619

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +1.55% ann. net · n=722

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.33% exp · 73D WF

Opp study rows 25,268 with outcomes

1,506 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-21

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日優先用當日穩定 Opp 高原；唔合格就沿用上一日。其餘篩選與本頁相同。列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 3 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.MLM P75+3.61% 上漲比65.3% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.738 開富途
  2. #2 US.NEM P75+3.59% 上漲比65.3% Up/Dn13.4% / 3.4% Opp3.736 開富途
  3. #3 US.SBUX P75+3.00% 上漲比68.1% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.66 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原：3.4–3.9 （上限為半開區間）。 勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部，或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

+1.25%

P75+3.61% 上漲比65.3% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Score78.6 Opp3.738
View chart 開富途
#2 US.NEM Newmont · Materials

+1.19%

P75+3.59% 上漲比65.3% Up/Dn13.4% / 3.4% Score83.8 Opp3.736
View chart 開富途
#3 US.SBUX Starbucks · Consumer Discretionary

+1.14%

P75+3.00% 上漲比68.1% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score63 Opp3.66
View chart 開富途