Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-24 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4861 | 4213 / 648 | 459 | 10.9% | 0.57x | +4.91% | -5.01% |
| Grade F | 10695 | 8827 / 1868 | 2037 | 23.1% | 1.21x | +7.06% | -4.75% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 73 | 64 / 9 | 21.9% | 1.15x | 0.97x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.75% | -5.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 75 | 66 / 9 | 21.2% | 1.11x | 0.94x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.67% | -5.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 + Risk not High | 75 | 66 / 9 | 21.2% | 1.11x | 0.94x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.67% | -5.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Risk not High | 75 | 66 / 9 | 21.2% | 1.11x | 0.94x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.67% | -5.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 56 | 49 / 7 | 22.4% | 1.17x | 0.94x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.45% | -5.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 | 58 | 51 / 7 | 21.6% | 1.13x | 0.9x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.37% | -5.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 | 58 | 51 / 7 | 21.6% | 1.13x | 0.9x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.37% | -5.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 58 | 51 / 7 | 21.6% | 1.13x | 0.9x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.37% | -5.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 74 | 65 / 9 | 21.5% | 1.13x | 0.97x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +5.73% | -5.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 74 | 65 / 9 | 21.5% | 1.13x | 0.97x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +5.73% | -5.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 74 | 65 / 9 | 21.5% | 1.13x | 0.97x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +5.73% | -5.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 76 | 67 / 9 | 20.9% | 1.09x | 0.94x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +5.66% | -5.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 | 76 | 67 / 9 | 20.9% | 1.09x | 0.94x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +5.66% | -5.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 | 76 | 67 / 9 | 20.9% | 1.09x | 0.94x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +5.66% | -5.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 160 | 139 / 21 | 14.4% | 0.75x | 0.59x | 30.4% · 23 checked | +4.99% | -7.91% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 160 | 139 / 21 | 20 | 14.4% | 0.75x | 30.4% · 23 checked | +4.99% | -7.91% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 424 | 386 / 38 | 48 | 12.4% | 0.65x | 16.7% · 54 checked | +5.04% | -6.65% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4081 | 3494 / 587 | 387 | 11.1% | 0.58x | 14.1% · 468 checked | +5.00% | -5.04% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 229 | 204 / 25 | 21 | 10.3% | 0.54x | 12.9% · 31 checked | +4.42% | -7.10% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15008 | 12557 / 2451 | 2449 | 19.5% | 1.02x | +6.43% | -4.78% |
| Score 90-109 | 529 | 464 / 65 | 45 | 9.7% | 0.51x | +4.62% | -6.18% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 76 | 67 / 9 | 14 | 20.9% | 1.09x | +5.66% | -5.46% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14055 | 11697 / 2358 | 2346 | 20.1% | 1.05x | +6.53% | -4.72% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1077 | 957 / 120 | 102 | 10.7% | 0.56x | +4.94% | -5.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 348 | 319 / 29 | 34 | 10.7% | 0.56x | +4.91% | -6.90% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 525 | 449 / 76 | 152 | 33.9% | 1.77x | +8.66% | -9.93% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2391 | 2056 / 335 | 490 | 23.8% | 1.25x | +7.17% | -6.13% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7708 | 6563 / 1145 | 1183 | 18% | 0.94x | +6.20% | -4.47% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4932 | 3972 / 960 | 671 | 16.9% | 0.88x | +5.96% | -4.18% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 736 | 626 / 110 | 214 | 34.2% | 1.79x | +9.43% | -8.31% |
| Elevated | 5348 | 4608 / 740 | 1347 | 29.2% | 1.53x | +7.98% | -6.14% |
| Medium | 9207 | 7597 / 1610 | 933 | 12.3% | 0.64x | +5.22% | -3.80% |
| Low | 265 | 209 / 56 | 2 | 1% | 0.05x | +3.06% | -3.04% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2287 | 1917 / 370 | 729 | 38% | 1.99x | +9.75% | -8.63% |
| Energy | 651 | 546 / 105 | 145 | 26.6% | 1.39x | +7.23% | -3.40% |
| Communication Services | 692 | 576 / 116 | 145 | 25.2% | 1.32x | +6.97% | -5.01% |
| Materials | 806 | 676 / 130 | 135 | 20% | 1.05x | +6.09% | -4.60% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1457 | 1222 / 235 | 225 | 18.4% | 0.96x | +6.11% | -4.77% |
| Health Care | 1827 | 1532 / 295 | 276 | 18% | 0.94x | +6.81% | -4.19% |
| Industrials | 2478 | 2078 / 400 | 357 | 17.2% | 0.9x | +5.89% | -4.91% |
| Financials | 2354 | 1974 / 380 | 332 | 16.8% | 0.88x | +5.97% | -3.20% |
| Consumer Staples | 1083 | 909 / 174 | 98 | 10.8% | 0.57x | +5.33% | -4.04% |
| Real Estate | 960 | 804 / 156 | 39 | 4.9% | 0.26x | +4.00% | -3.85% |
| Utilities | 961 | 806 / 155 | 15 | 1.9% | 0.1x | +2.78% | -3.85% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.